Iraq: A Year in Review

Justifications and Ramifications of the War

Since the end of major combat operations on May 1st, 2003, Coalition forces have yet to discover any weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. As Iraqi possession and production of WMD was a central reason for the war, the apparent lack of WMD has left a gaping hole in this rationale. The picture on the ground appears to be much more complicated than originally anticipated. Where are the weapons? Did Saddam have so-called “dual use” facilities that could be turned into chemical and biological weapons factories on short notice? Or was American and British pre-war intelligence cherry-picked to make Iraq look more threatening than it actually was? Did the intelligence services simply not realize the extent to which a decade of sanctions had succeeded in disarming Iraq? Or was the conflict in Iraq a natural response to the events of September 11th? Have US resources been diverted from the war against al-Qaeda and the rebuilding of Afghanistan? Or is Iraq a central front of the war on terror?

WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications
Joseph Cirincione, Jessica T. Mathews and George Perkovich, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, January 2004. This report attempts to summarize and clarify the complex story of weapons of mass destruction and the Iraq war. It examines the unclassified record of prewar intelligence, administration statements of Iraq's capabilities to produce nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons and long-range missiles, and the evidence found to date in Iraq. It draws findings from this material and offers lessons and recommendations for the future.

Quagmire? What Quagmire? Iraq is a Black Hole
Colonel Dan Smith, American Diplomacy, 2003. Colonel Smith argues that Iraq, unlike Vietnam, is not a quagmire, but looms instead as a black hole which he sees as an ever-expanding funnel into which human lives, human talent, and monetary resources are being poured, never to be recovered.

Iraq: The Wrong War
Charles V. Pena, The Cato Institute, December 15, 2003. The more important war is the war on terror, specifically against al-Qaeda, according to Pena. The conflict in Iraq was and is a dangerous distraction.

Iraq and the Return of Colonialism
Barhan Ghalioun, Social Science Research Council, Summer 2003. Ghalioun ties the American invasion of Iraq to the failings of the larger Arab world to modernize and democratize.

Unproven: The Controversy over Justifying War in Iraq
David Cortright, Alistair Millar, George A. Lopez, and Linda Gerber, Joan B. Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies. This report discusses the controversy over pre-war intelligence, and attempts to present all of the publicly available intelligence on Iraq’s weapons programs before the war.

Lessons of Operation Iraqi Freedom
Richard Perle, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, August 11, 2004. Strongly in favor of the Bush administration’s foreign policy, Perle details nine major lessons learned in the Iraq War.

Confrontation with Saddam's Iraq: A Military Assessment
Lt. Gen. Shaul Mofaz, former chief of staff, Israel Defense Forces, discusses the underpinnings of the war against Iraq and describes the benefits of a democratic Iraq.

Event Analysis: Opening War Moves by the United States
Kenneth W. Estes

Statement of Principles
Project for a New American Century, June 3, 1997. This statement, calling for a more aggressive US foreign policy and increased defense spending, is often cited as evidence of the ostensible neoconservative plan to take out Iraq long before September 11. It is signed by many who are now officials in the Bush administration, including Dick Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz, and Donald Rumsfeld.

Remarks to the United Nations Security Council
Secretary of State Colin Powell’s February 5, 2003 presentation to the United Nations Security Council detailing evidence of Iraqi possession of WMD.

Iraq's WMD Programs: Culling Hard Facts from Soft Myths
Statement of Stuart A. Cohen, Vice Chairman, National Intelligence Council, discussing the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq’s WMD capabilities. Discredits 10 myths about the NIC, such as "Analysts were pressured to change judgments to meet the needs of the Bush Administration" and "We overcompensated for having underestimated the WMD threat in 1991."

Iraq: Meeting the Challenge, Sharing the Burden, Staying the Course
A trip report to members of the Committee on Foreign Relations of the United States Senate by Richard Lugar. A sober assessment of the costs and burdens associated with rebuilding and democratizing Iraq. July 2003.

Statement By David Kay on the Interim Progress Report On the Activities of the Iraq Survey Group (ISG)
Statement by David Kay on the Interim Progress Report on the Activities of the Iraq Survey Group (ISG) before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, the House Committee on Appropriations, Subcommittee on Defense, and the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. October 2, 2003 Kay explains to Congress why America has not yet found those WMDs. Also addresses what has been uncovered on biological warfare, chemical weapons, nuclear weapons, and delivery methods. There are some supporting images on the sidebar of evidence of weapons. Lastly, Kay shares his view of how the US is in a unique place because it doesn't have to rely on the UN/IAEA for inaccurate data on WMDs.

Remarks as prepared for delivery by Director of Central Intelligence, George J. Tenet, at Georgetown University
5 February, 2004 Addresses: how does the CIA feel about their performance so far? What was the CIA's prewar estimate on Iraq and how have they followed Iraq's development of WMD programs for over 10 years?

Blix: Iraq War Was Illegal — Blair's defense is bogus, says the former UN weapons inspector
In an Interview with Hans Blix from the British newspaper The Independent. Blix states that, in his estimation, the war in Iraq was illegal.

The Iraq War and Lessons Relating to Intelligence and Weapons of Mass Destruction
Anthony Cordesman, December 2003, working draft. A report on the pre-war intelligence on Iraq's WMD.

Unraveling the Known Unknowns: Why no Weapons of Mass Destruction have been found in Iraq
British American Security Information Council (BASIC), January 2004. Report on pre-war American and British intelligence, concludes that there was no rationale for war.

Press Briefing: 11AM Monday 8 March 2004
In this March 5, 2004 speech, Prime Minister Tony Blair warns of the continuing global terrorist threat and the necessity of the fight in Iraq.

U.N. Authorization for War with Iraq Is Unnecessary
This piece by Brett Schaefer of the Heritage Foundation outlines 4 points for why the U.S. did not require a U.N. mandate or resolution in support of its action against Iraq.

Thoughts on Iraq and the War on Terrorism
On the issue that matters most (America's survival, the civilized world's survival, the spread of democracy, and the war against terrorism), President Bush is right . . .

The Conflict in Iraq and the International Rule of Law
Gillian Triggs, May 2003. This paper considers the United Nations system for peace enforcement and the place of international law in the aftermath of the Coalition-led attack in Iraq. It explores the future role of the Security Council, the legal obligations of occupying forces and the possibility of war crimes trials.

Beyond Iraq: Challenges to the Transatlantic Security Community
Thomas Risse, 2003. The Johns Hopkins University: American Institute for Contemporary German Studies. In the midst of the yet-to-be-resolved Iraq conflict, transatlantic relations have weakened. Highlighting the German role in the transatlantic community, the article calls for a European response to the changing world political scene. First, the fundamentals of the transatlantic security community are discussed. Second, Risse explores domestic developments on both sides of the Atlantic to account for the current crisis, focusing on the United States. Last, he sketches a European vision of world order in response to the current discourse emanating from Washington.

International Law and the War in Iraq
John C. Yoo, July 2003. Many international legal scholars and foreign governments have argued that the recent war in Iraq violated international law. This paper criticizes this view, claiming that existing United Nations Security Council resolutions authorizes the use of force against Iraq and that the use of force can be justified as self defense. The author also addresses the changing notions of self defense in considering the behavior of rogue states and the threat of weapons of mass destruction.

Abu Ghraib: Implementing Reforms, Taking Responsibilities
May 2004. This paper addresses abuse of Iraqi prisoners in Abu Ghraib and the need for reform so as to maintain the legitimacy of America's presence in Iraq. It proposes amendments to American foreign policy, the investigation and resignation of top Pentagon officials and the necessity of moving beyond the post-9/11 anti-Muslim mindset that perpetuates such crimes.


 

Compiled and annotated by editorial assistants Adam Mausner and Siheun Song in consultation with Sean Costigan, Senior Editor for CIAO.

 

The Future of Iraq | The War and the Wider World | A Violent Month | Events of the Past Year | Government Documents | Maps

 

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