CIAO DATE: 03/04

The Washington Quarterly

Winter 2004, Volume 27, Number 1

Provocations

Tough love for multilateralism ... insurgency in Iraq ... and American civil security

• Tough Love Multilateralism (PDF, 18 pages, 97 KB)
  Bruce W. Jentleson

  Proponents need to apply some tough love to multilateralism to develop policies for when, why, who decides, and how to use military force. Otherwise, it will remain weak analytically, vulnerable politically, and unable to gain the mantle of leadership of U.S. foreign policy.

• Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in Iraq (PDF, 12 pages, 71.8 KB)
  Steven Metz

  The United States faces an intractable dilemma in Iraq: insurgency if it stays or instability if it leaves. The sooner that a comprehensive counterinsurgency strategy, based on these six principles, can be implemented, the better the chances to forestall the threat.

• American Civil Security: The U.S. Public and Homeland Security (PDF, 16 pages, 96.1 KB)
  Amanda J. Dory

  Decisionmakers tend to view Americans not as partners in dealing with terrorism but as either potential attack victims or panicked masses. It is time to create a comprehensive civil security plan that will better prepare the U.S. population to survive and cope with future attacks.

  Do the Major Powers Matter?

  The sources and limits of contemporary Chinese, European, Japanese, Russian, and Indian power

• Editor's Note (PDF, 2 pages, 32.2 KB)
  Alexander T. J. Lennon

• Russia: Power in Weakness? (PDF, 18 pages, 95.6 KB)
  Eugene B. Rumer and Celeste A. Wallander

  Russian leadership faces internal political, economic, societal, and defense challenges that will preclude Russia from achieving great-power status in the near future. What is notable is not Russia's power but its weakness.

• Why Does China Matter? (PDF, 16 pages, 85.6 KB)
  Robert Sutter

  Based on its size, strategic location, and rising economic and military power, China exerts worldwide economic influence and is the leading military and political power in Asia, but Chinese leaders are not inclined to assert influence in world affairs more forcefully.

• Europe's Leverage (PDF, 20 pages, 102.5 KB)
  Robert E. Hunter

  Much of what the United States seeks to do elsewhere in the world will depend on its ability to gain the support and active engagement of European power-and European powers-politically, economically, and militarily.

• Japan: Using Power Narrowly (PDF, 18 pages, 90.5 KB)
  Edward J. Lincoln

  Tokyo has used economic and other nonmilitary levers at its disposal to meet Japan's immediate needs, but Japan does not have its own seat at the table of international policymaking. Its interests have remained more limited.

• Is India a Major Power? (PDF, 16 pages, 84.2 KB)
  George Perkovich

  India has just enough power to resist the influence of others but must still make great strides before it can attain significant power over other states and, thus, in the international system at large.

  Europe's Global Role

  What role should Europe play in the world, particularly the greater Middle East?

• Broadening the Transatlantic Relationship (PDF, 16 pages, 87.1 KB)
  Doug Bereuter and John Lis

  The chairman of the House International Relations Subcommittee on Europe and his senior policy adviser argue that the United States needs a strong European partner to help promote common interests in Europe and the world beyond.

• Europe's Middle East Challenges (PDF, 16 pages, 83.5 KB)
  Geoffrey Kemp

  Europe's deep involvement with the Middle East will grow and become increasingly political. It is therefore essential that the Europeans resolve their own regional policy disputes, on four issues in particular, and work with the United States on at least three key problems.

• Bound to Cooperate? Transatlantic Policy in the Middle East (PDF, 18 pages, 92.8 KB)
  Dalia Dassa Kaye

  The United States and Europe are not bound to cooperate in the Middle East, but they are also not fated to conflict. Rather, cooperation must be actively cultivated to forge common strategic approaches, such as these, that can no longer be taken for granted.

• European Military Reform for a Global Partnership (PDF, 14 pages, 79.1 KB)
  Rob deWijk

  A new approach to transatlantic security cooperation should be based on a clear division of labor, with the United States primarily responsible for carrying out major combat operations and Europe primarily responsible for stabilization and reconstruction.

  Charles Cook on Washington
  The latest prospects for Bush's reelection and his Democratic challengers

• From Swings to Poles (PDF, 8 pages, 64.1 KB)
  Charles E. Cook Jr.

  Although the presidential election will be a referendum on the incumbent, as it always is, the 2004 campaign may shift from targeting swing voters to motivating activists and ideologues on each side.