From the CIAO Atlas Map of Asia 

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CIAO DATE: 6/99

South Asia After the Tests: Where Do We Go From Here?

July 1, 1998

Asia Society

Table of Contents

Foreword by Marshall Bouton, Executive Vice President, Asia Society

Overview

Introduction

Motivations for Testing and Domestic Political Implications
India's Decision to Conduct Nuclear Tests
Pakistan's Decision to Conduct Nuclear Tests
Discussion
    India Tests as the Window of Opportunity Closes
    Bureaucratic Origins of the Test
    Strategic Factors not Domestic Politics Key to Explaining Tests

Next Steps: Weaponization and Deterrence?
Possibility of Weapons Use
Why Weaponization Should Be Avoided
    Stabilizing Nuclear Relations
    Safety and Security
    Weaponization and Policy
    Real Time Monitoring Capability
    Accommodation and Reassurance
Discussion

Regional Stability and Strategic Balance: Perspectives from East Asia
Impact on Asia-Pacific Region
    Asia-Pacific Reaction
    Japan's Reaction
Geography and Pathology
Discussion
    Chinese Perspective on India's Nuclear Strategy
    Dealing with the Tests
    Japan and the Tests
    India and FMCT
    India's Missile Delivery System

Economic Dimensions of Tests
India and Pakistan Should Focus on Weak Economies
    India's Economy
    Pakistan's Economy
Discussion
    Impact of Sanctions on India
    Impact of Sanctions on Pakistan
    Defense Expenditures in India and Pakistan

Conclusion
Economic Reforms After the Tests
(currently not available)

Appendix: List of Participants