Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 05/2009

North Africa: The Hidden Risks to Regional Stability

Claire Spencer

April 2009

Chatham House

Abstract

North Africa may not be as stable as it looks: socio-economic and political pressures are fracturing the consensus between governments and governed and may overtake terrorism and criminality as the region's main destabilizing forces. With political leadership in the region effectively a lifelong position, the growth of authoritarianism is undermining the prospects for achieving political and economic liberalization. Despite the worsening global economic climate, a window of opportunity exists to accelerate socially sensitive and productive domestic investment and open space for greater autonomous political and economic development.