Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 04/2011

The Arab uprising: Causes, prospects and implications

Timo Behr, Mika Aaltola

March 2011

Finnish Institute for International Affairs

Abstract

The overthrow of autocratic governments in Egypt and Tunisia has radically changed the course of Middle Eastern politics. Emboldened by the peaceful mass protests that brought Ben Ali and Mubarak to their knees, young protesters have taken to the streets in many Arab capitals, demanding a better life and a more accountable government. Demographics and the political momentum seem to be on their side. As the Arab revolution spreads, the international community grapples with its causes and consequences. Are other Arab regimes likely to fold? What will replace them? And what will the long-term impact be?