Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 09/2011

Warning: Hollow Force Ahead! The Effect of Ever More Defense Budget Cuts on US Armed Forces

Thomas Donnelly, Gary J. Schmitt

July 2011

American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research

Abstract

National security is neither a "sacred cow" nor just another federal budget line item. Providing for the common defense of the American people and our homeland is the primary responsibility of policymakers in Washington. However, in an effort to protect social entitlements like Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and the health care reform law from serious deficit and debt reduction efforts, President Obama has proposed not only to raise taxes, but also to cut another $400 billion more from future national security spending. As Obama said on June 29, 2011, "[Outgoing Secretary of Defense] Bob Gates has already done a good job identifying $400 billion in cuts, but we're going to do more." It appears the President wants to do much more when it comes to cutting defense. This week, Obama praised the latest in a series of plans to cut military spending by roughly $900 billion or more. He said the most recent plan that proposes cutting $886 billion from defense is "broadly consistent" with his own approach for getting the country's finances under control. Although this plan, like the others, is light on details of how it would actually achieve trillions in overall spending cuts, it is clear that there is a willingness within the administration and among some members of Congress to slash defense well beyond the President's earlier mark of $400 billion. So far, the debate over long-term defense spending cuts has been a war among accountants--an abstract numbers game played with little regard for its concrete effect on the future of America's armed forces and national security. This backgrounder describes the likely results of the significant defense spending reductions now being considered: a "hollow force" characterized by fewer personnel and weapon systems, slowed military modernization, reduced readiness for operations, and continued stress on the all-volunteer force. If realized, this modern day "hollow force" will be less capable of securing America's interests and preserving the international leadership role that rests upon military preeminence.