Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 07/2008

What if the United States Sneezed and Latin America Didn't Catch a Cold?

Megan Davy

May 2008

American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research

Abstract

Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) economies, usually susceptible to international financial turmoil, are especially vulnerable to even minor tremors in U.S. markets. Regional policymakers and entrepreneurs, therefore, have been closely watching the current U.S. subprime credit crisis. Here is the good news: all signs point to relatively minor symptoms in LAC countries--despite a rocky financial history during the 1980s and 1990s--thanks in large part to reforms undertaken in response to previous financial crises, as well as continued high commodity prices that will likely buoy export markets. Although the economic downturn in the United States and other global markets will likely expose lingering weaknesses in the region's economy, this latest crisis can provide an impetus to complete the unfinished business of building more modern, resilient economies.