CIAO DATE: 12/2010
Volume: 33, Issue: 4
October 2010
Iran and the Great Sanctions Debate (PDF)
Meghan L. O'Sullivan
Amid a flurry of sanctions activity on Iran, the question persists: Do sanctions work? Policymakers will be well-served by a subtle understanding of what increases the chances of sanctions contributing to a positive outcome, and when to adjust the sanctions strategy
Should Israel Become a "Normal" Nation? (PDF)
Barbara Slavin
External pressures are rising on Israel, creating a diplomatic crisis, to constrain its disproportionate use of military force, acknowledge its nuclear weapons arsenal, and actively seek a comprehensive peace agreement. It is time that Israel became a “normal” nation
The Anatomy of Japan's Shifting Security Orientation
Tsuyoshi Sunohara
The fissures appearing in the U.S.-Japan alliance’s foundation are deeply rooted, not the function of one political leader or party. Factors like relations with China, nuclear policy, and the future of the Japanese constitution have made Japanese political factions, and alliance dynamics, more complicated.
Engagement without Recognition: A New Strategy toward Abkhazia and Eurasia's Unrecognized States (PDF)
Lincoln A. Mitchell, Alexander Cooley
Two years after the Russia-Georgia war, Eurasia’s unrecognized states remain isolated and dependent on regional patrons. To facilitate integration, a new “engagement without recognition” approach toward at least Abkhazia could also serve as a model with others.
Decoding Turkish Foreign Policy Hyperactivity (PDF)
Jonathan Paris, Ziya Meral
Much of the recent discussion on Turkey misses the point. The key question is not whether Turkey is giving up its U.S. and EU ties in exchange for closer ties with the Islamic world. The key is: has fresh Turkish zeal backfired, leading Ankara to miscalculate its influence and risk losses to Turkey’s potential stabilizing role as well as its own interests?
The End of the African Renaissance (PDF)
Bruce Gilley
Twenty years ago, an African renaissance was proclaimed, an attempt at a fruitful encounter with modernity after decades of self-destructive ones. Today, it is time to admit that the African renaissance is over, with tyranny, stagnation, and conflict on the march again
Getting Back on Track in Bosnia-Herzegovina (PDF)
Christopher S. Chivvis, Harun Dogo
The situation in Bosnia has unfortunately deteriorated in the last four years. With the fifteenth anniversary of the Dayton Accords and national elections arriving this fall, the time is ripe to reorient transatlantic strategy, particularly on three issues.
Will China Change the Rules of Global Order? (PDF)
Ramesh Thakur, Gregory Chin
China is now set to embark on a qualitatively different phase of international engagement, continuing to adopt many global standards, rules, and norms of international conduct, but challenging others, along with Brazil and India, to accommodate these three “developmental states.”
American and Chinese Power after the Financial Crisis (PDF)
Joseph S. Nye, Jr.
The United States has been widely blamed for the recent financial crisis, while China continues to grow and benefits from projections about the future. But be wary of the wrong long-term projections from the recent crisis that could lead to costly policy miscalculations.
Understanding the Geopolitical Implications of the Global Financial Crisis (PDF)
Wu Xinbo
Although it is still early, the financial crisis has expedited three global trends: the evolution of international power away from unipolarity, views of the United States as part of both solutions and problems in global affairs, and a search for new models of governance and development.
Storm Clouds Gathering for the Democrats (PDF)
Charles E. Cook, Jr.
The House seems to be teetering on the edge of shifting into GOP hands, while the fight for a majority in the Senate seems to be getting tighter. A funny thing has happened on the way to the 2010 midterm elections, beginning in September 2009.