CIAO DATE: 03/2013
February 2013
United States Institute of Peace
Most influential Afghans surveyed for this report are positive about the international engagement in their country since 2001. Most consider that security has deteriorated and are skeptical about the 2014 end date of international combat operations. Most are in favor of a small contingent of international forces to be deployed after 2014. Mistrust of neighbors seen as interfering is widespread, as is the belief that regional dynamics have a major impact on Afghan stability. The majority are equally critical of Afghan foreign policy but do not think that Afghanistan is a threat to others. Border demarcation issues, most believe, should be addressed through a consultative process, as should water rights through international mediation, to help de-escalate regional tensions and act as confidence-building measures. Terrorism is deemed as sourced outside the country, and the Taliban’s strength is seen as tied to external factors. A negotiated political end to the conflict is considered ideal, as is a U.S. role in that process. Most do not believe that the Taliban would agree to the current political order or constitution, but some are willing to negotiate elements of democratic values and gender rights.
Resource link: Perceptions of Politically Engaged, Influential Afghans on the Way Forward [PDF]