Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 06/2010

Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence

May 2010

International Crisis Group

Abstract

South Sudan is just eight months away from a selfdetermination referendum that will likely result in its secession from the North. Much remains to be done to implement the outstanding elements of Sudan’s Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), and time is running out. The agreement’s underlying aim of “making unity attractive” has failed, and most Southerners thus appear determined to choose independence. Neighbouring states are increasingly focused on the fragile circumstances in Sudan and the likelihood of a newly independent state in the region. Support from Sudan’s neighbours for the referendum process and respect for its result will be crucial to ensuring peace and stability in the country and the region.