Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 10/2014

Bringing Back Transitology: Democratisation in the 21st Century

Dr Mohammad-Mahmoud Ould Mohamedou, Timothy Sisk

November 2013

The Geneva Centre for Security Policy

Abstract

Can political and socioeconomic transitions be systematised beyond their own contexts and specificities? In examining political liberalisation attempts taking place in the early twenty-first century, notably those leading up to and in the wake of the Arab Spring, dominant perspectives have featured a conspicuous absence of the literature on transitions to democracy of the past forty or so years. For all its insights and shortcomings, the framework of transitology (a body of literature that has comparatively and through case-study analysis examined common patterns, sequences, crises and outcomes of transitional periods) has been largely eschewed. The combined effect of the emphasis on regional narratives and immediate political dynamics has stripped the understanding of a new generation of political transitions of a deeper background of transitology which carries much relevance, albeit one in need of updating in light of recent experiences.