CIAO DATE: 01/2015
December 2014
Center for Strategic and International Studies
This report provides a deeply disturbing picture of the recent unclassified data on the fighting. The US and ISAF have virtually ceased to report any metrics or hard data on the fighting, limiting information to press briefings. The only data now provided are quarterly trend data for the percentages of change in Enemy-Initiated Attacks (EIAs). This assumes that enemy forces will focus on taking the tactical initiative at a time they know the US and other ISAF states are leaving, ignores the insurgent effort to increase political influence and control, and ignores the need to make net assessments of ANSF and insurgent influence and capability. It also ignores the far more negative trends in UN estimates of casualties, areas of violence, and State Department estimates of patterns of terrorism.
Resource link: Afghan Forces on the Edge of Transition - Volume II [PDF] - 4.8M