Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 12/2014

A Key Update: Afghan Forces on the Edge of Transition: Sharply Contradictory Data on Levels of Violence

Anthony H. Cordesman, Aaron Lin, Michael Peacock

November 2014

Center for Strategic and International Studies

Abstract

The United States and its allies are months away from ending their combat role in Afghanistan. The United States, the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), and the Afghan Government have provided a substantial amount of data on the process of Transition, the course of the fighting, and the development and capability of Afghan forces. In at least some cases, this may be the last round of valuable data that provides this level of information. With the reduced US and allied presence in the Afghanistan, key data on the course of fighting and Afghan force readiness have already been sharply cut back as the US and ISAF lose direct contact with Afghan forces in the field. Additionally, efforts have been made to portray Transition and the course of the fighting in favorable terms in the face of setbacks and undeniable challenges, for what often seem to be political reasons.