CIAO DATE: 12/2014
November 2014
Center for Strategic and International Studies
This paper focuses on the uncertainties shaping the data on Iran’s efforts to acquire, design, and produce nuclear weapons. It examines the evidence in IAEA and US intelligence reporting, and the problems this raises for any effective agreement between Iran and the P5+1.
Resource link: Assessing a Deal or Non-deal with Iran: The Critical Issue of Iran's Progress in Weapons Research, Development, and Production Capability. [PDF] - 655K