Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 12/2014

Assessing a Deal or Non-deal with Iran: The Critical Issue of Iran's Progress in Weapons Research, Development, and Production Capability.

Anthony H. Cordesman

November 2014

Center for Strategic and International Studies

Abstract

This paper focuses on the uncertainties shaping the data on Iran’s efforts to acquire, design, and produce nuclear weapons. It examines the evidence in IAEA and US intelligence reporting, and the problems this raises for any effective agreement between Iran and the P5+1.