Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 02/2013

Preparing for a Deep Defense Drawdown

Clark A. Murdock

October 2012

Center for Strategic and International Studies

Abstract

The Budget Control Act of 2011, enacted in August 2011, mandated caps on national security and domestic spending totaling $1 trillion over 10 years and created a sequester mechanism imposing another $1.2 trillion over 9 years if triggered (on January 2, 2013) by Congress’s failure to reach a bipartisan solution via a “super committee” process by the end of 2011 or a “grand bargain” compromise. The total bill for the Department of Defense is $487 billion in FY2012–FY2021 and $475 billion in FY2013–FY2021. This would bring the defense budget top line from its post-9/11 peak of $735 billion (in constant FY2013 dollars) to $510 billion, which is a 31 percent decline and comparable to past drawdowns of 33 to 43 percent.