Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 07/2010

The Uncertain Politics behind Iraq's Election: Political Controversies and the Formation of a Viable Government

Elena Derby, Anthony H. Cordesman

April 2010

Center for Strategic and International Studies

Abstract

Although Iraq has made political progress over the past few years it still falls far short of the level of political accommodation it needs to control its ethnic and sectarian divisions, ensure adequate representation for all ethno-religious groups, and create the conditions for effective governance. Despite the success of the national elections in March 2010, when over two thirds of the population defied threats of violence to cast their ballots—with a particularly strong turnout among Sunnis and Kurds—it is still unclear whether Iraq can form a stable ―national‖ coalition government. If Iraq is successful, it will still take years for the new elected and appointed officials to develop the capacity they need to govern effectively.