Columbia International Affairs Online: Working Papers

CIAO DATE: 05/2015

The Meaning of Failed Replications: A Review and Proposal

Michael Clemens

April 2015

Center for Global Development

Abstract

The welcome rise of replication tests in economics has not been accompanied by a single, clear definition of ‘replication'. A discrepant replication, in current usage of the term, can signal anything from an unremarkable disagreement over methods to scientific incompetence or misconduct. This paper proposes an unambiguous definition of replication, one that reflects currently common but unstandardized use. It contrasts this definition with decades of unsuccessful attempts to standardize terminology, and argues that many prominent results described as replication tests should not be described as such. Adopting this definition can improve incentives for researchers, encouraging more and better replication tests.