Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 06/2010

Lessons from the Iran Nuclear Developments

Patrick Clawson

May 2010

The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Abstract

In the fluid situation surrounding Iran's nuclear program, perhaps the safest bet is to expect more surprises. Despite the promising draft circulated on May 19, it is not clear how meaningful a sanctions resolution adopted by the UN Security Council will be, even if it is adopted soon. Nor is it clear how vigorously Brazil and Turkey will pursue the trilateral agreement that the two countries reached with Iran on May 16. All the same, important lessons can be drawn from this week's developments.