Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 12/2011

Watching from the Sidelines: Israel and the Syrian Uprising

Ehud Eiran

November 2011

United States Institute of Peace

Abstract

Israel has been generally quiet regarding the recent turmoil in Syria, a reflection of the issue’s relative low priority, as well as Israel’s limited influence on internal Syrian matters. Israel’s preferred outcome would be a stable Syrian regime that disassociates itself from the “axis of resistance,” poses no bilateral threats, and controls the border area—though Israel sees no clear path for achieving these aims. The view in Israel is that the basic structure of deterrence still holds vis-à-vis Syria and the regime—even in its desperate circumstances—is unlikely to provoke Israel in dramatic ways.