Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 11/2012

Country Economic Forecasts: Germany

June 2012

Oxfam Publishing

Abstract

The German economy is clearly slowing in the face of the latest phase of the Eurozone crisis. We expect the impact of the crisis on business investment and exports to cause the economy to contract in Q2 before recovering slowly in H2. As a result, GDP growth is now forecast to slow to 0.7% in 2012 overall from 3.1% last year, before accelerating to 1.4% in 2013.