Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 10/2013

Lessons from Libya: How Not to Intervene

Alan Kuperman

September 2013

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

Abstract

The biggest misconception about NATO's intervention is that it saved lives and benefited Libya and its neighbors. In reality, when NATO intervened in mid-March 2011, Qaddafi already had regained control of most of Libya, while the rebels were retreating rapidly toward Egypt. Thus, the conflict was about to end, barely six weeks after it started, at a toll of about 1,000 dead, including soldiers, rebels, and civilians caught in the crossfire. By intervening, NATO enabled the rebels to resume their attack, which prolonged the war for another seven months and caused at least 7,000 more deaths.