Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 03/2011

The Future of U.S. Nuclear Policy: The Case for No First Use

Michael S. Gerson

February 2011

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

Abstract

There are four reasons why the United States might decide to threaten, or actually use, nuclear weapons first: to deter or respond to conventional aggression; to deter or respond to chemical or biological weapons attacks; to preempt an adversary's use of nuclear weapons; and to hold at risk, and potentially destroy, underground targets. Upon close examination, U.S. conventional capabilities are more than sufficient for these missions, are more credible than nuclear threats, and do not carry the added political and military consequences associated with the United States breaking the long record of nuclear nonuse.