Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 09/2011

Where Do We Stand in the Field of Nuclear Disarmament: What Is Next After the New START

Nurşin Ateşoğlu Güney

June 2011

Global Political Trends Center

Abstract

The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) agreement, without any doubt, has started a new debate on whether the international community has finally entered a renaissance in the field of disarmament after a long period of stalemate. In this regard, the New START agreement, together with the New York Nuclear Safety Summit of 2010 and the NPT Review Conference of 2010, seems to be creating a rather positive atmosphere. Yet, if one examines the discussions that took place at the US and the Russian parliament’s before and after the ratification of the New START, he/she will come to the conclusion that the progress on nuclear disarmament, at the levels of both strategic and non-­‐strategic weapons, will not be an easy one. The situation will remain unchanged unless certain contentious military issues between Washington and Moscow are somehow resolved. In this regard, the next round of the New START agreement will be crucial. This situation will not only affect the future of the US and the Russian militaries’ relationships to one another, but it will also change the balance of relations among the nuclear “haves” and “have-­‐nots” of the NPT Treaty. It is, therefore, expected that the NPT’s two tracks, namely disarmament and nuclear non-­‐proliferation, will be affected either in a positive or negative way in the future, depending on the evolution of the post-­‐New START era. Within this perspective, the possibility that US and Russia will implement new disarmament agreements has gained utmost importance in the aftermath of the New START for the future implications of the US President Barack Obama’s “Global Zero Policy”.