Columbia International Affairs Online: Policy Briefs

CIAO DATE: 03/2011

Russia's Strategic Choice

Graeme P. Herd

May 2010

The Geneva Centre for Security Policy

Abstract

The impact of the global financial crisis (a 9% GDP drop in 2009) initiated a heated domestic debate as to whether Russia’s performance legitimacy, the hallmark of the Putin years, should in the Medvedev presidency be buttressed by increased procedural legitimacy. Given the fundamental nature of this issue (the distribution and exercise of power, privilege and wealth) a highly contested debate over which strategic pathway Russia should adopt has unfolded, with elite opinion and interest appears divided between whether to continue with a ‘conservative’ or embrace a ‘democratic’ modernization paradigm.