CIAO DATE: 02/2008
Volume: 31, Issue: 1
Winter 2007-2008
Provocations: The dangers of adopting a nuclear weapons-free world as a concrete goal, an effective strategy for promoting democracy and human rights, strengthening U.S. strategic planning, and more.
New Nuclear Realities (PDF)
Harold Brown
The former secretary of defense argues that the lessons of history warn that adopting a nuclear weapons–free world as a concrete goal could instead divert from or distort counterproliferation efforts, harming U.S. and global security.
Should Democracy Be Promoted or Demoted? (PDF)
Francis Fukuyama, Michael McFaul
The tragic result of the gap between declared objectives and strategies on democracy promotion is that many Americans are starting to view this goal as no longer desirable or attainable. A more effective strategy for promoting democracy and human rights is both needed and available.
Strengthening U.S. Strategic Planning (PDF)
Aaron L. Friedberg
The former director of policy planning in the Office of the Vice President argues that the U.S. government has lost the capacity to conduct serious, sustained national strategic planning and proposes three ways by which the next president could improve it.
Understanding Chinese and U.S. Crisis Behavior (PDF)
Wu Xinbo
Lessons learned about contrasting Chinese and U.S. characteristics of crisis behavior from the 1999 embassy bombing and the 2001 mid-air collision can help both sides to deal with future crises better.Seizing the Opportunity for Change in the Taiwan Strait (PDF)
Yun-han Chu, Andrew J. Nathan
Taiwan's presidential election in March will usher in a moderate on cross-strait issues, offering a potential shift in cross-strait relations if Washington and Beijing understand the deceptive change toward moderation in Taiwan and what to do to reinforce it.
Reexamining the U.S.-Turkish Alliance (PDF)
Joshua W. Walker
The emergence of Turkey's Justice and Development Party (AKP) has coincided with an unprecedented estrangement in U.S.-Turkish relations. Yet, far from being the source of anti-Americanism, the AKP represents an ideal partner for the United States in the region.
The Security Implications of Climate Change (PDF)
John Podesta, Peter Ogden
Within the next 30 years, climate change is expected to cause destabilizing migration, massive food and water shortages, devastating natural disasters, and deadly disease outbreaks that will present serious security challenges not only to directly affected countries, but to the United States and the entire international community.